Results and Discussion of Dengue Model with Temperature Effects in Interval Environment

Abstract

We have investigated a dengue model with temperature effects under interval uncertainty in this work. This study observed the Aedes aegypti temperature-dependent entomological parameters that affect dengue illness transmission dynamics in Taiwan's subtropical zone.  A vector-host transmission model was used to examine how temperature fluctuations influence the development of pre-adult mosquitoes, their egg-laying rates, adult mortality, and the incubation rate of viruses within them. This study showed that although estimations of entomological parameters were positively correlated with slow temperature rises, no such correlation was detected with mosquito mortality or maturation rates, underscoring the slow rate of maturation of pre-adult mosquitoes. The findings suggest that the dynamic modeling of vector-host interactions is significantly influenced by temperature. Additionally, our modeling indicates that a temperature range of about 32°C is ideal for dengue transmission. In the future, control measure modeling and cost-effectiveness assessments may benefit from these insights.